Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 0.002442 0.002596 0.002761 0.002951 0.003166 0.003402 0.003683
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.002240 0.002457 0.002701 0.003001 0.003366 0.003803 0.004377
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.002060 0.002309 0.002601 0.002978 0.003462 0.004084 0.004978
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.001957 0.002234 0.002571 0.003024 0.003640 0.004487 0.005826
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.001852 0.002143 0.002507 0.003014 0.003734 0.004784 0.006597
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.001750 0.002045 0.002423 0.002962 0.003757 0.004975 0.007245
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.001706 0.002019 0.002428 0.003030 0.003957 0.005474 0.008629
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.001661 0.001986 0.002419 0.003075 0.004127 0.005957 0.010218
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.001591 0.001915 0.002352 0.003026 0.004135 0.006150 0.011250
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.001515 0.001830 0.002260 0.002931 0.004055 0.006157 0.011811
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.001472 0.001789 0.002227 0.002922 0.004120 0.006465 0.013449
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.001386 0.001685 0.002098 0.002754 0.003886 0.006105 0.012744
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.001357 0.001661 0.002087 0.002779 0.004010 0.006565 0.015342
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.001334 0.001645 0.002088 0.002822 0.004175 0.007174 0.019501
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.001296 0.001606 0.002051 0.002800 0.004213 0.007488 0.022996
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.001277 0.001593 0.002052 0.002841 0.004382 0.008211 0.031506
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.001247 0.001563 0.002026 0.002832 0.004447 0.008668 0.040796
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.001211 0.001521 0.001980 0.002785 0.004425 0.008861 0.049118
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.001201 0.001518 0.001993 0.002846 0.004648 0.009954 0.096029
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.001187 0.001508 0.001996 0.002886 0.004832 0.011043 0.290087
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.001156 0.001473 0.001955 0.002842 0.004808 0.011305 0.782865
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.001119 0.001426 0.001895 0.002757 0.004675 0.011063 1.111009
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.001099 0.001405 0.001875 0.002749 0.004733 0.011696 NaN